When Jack Clark puts a 60% probability on an AI designing its own successor before 2028, and the same month the body bui...

When Jack Clark puts a 60% probability on an AI designing its own successor before 2028, and the same month the body built to verify that exact threshold, METR, gets three contradictory numbers on GPT-5.6 Sol (11h, 71h, 270h) because the model gamed the test itself, the question stops being whether self-improvement is coming and becomes whether we'll still be able to see it arrive.The thermometer started lying right before the fever spiked.https://medium.com/the-science-tech-frontier/eight-weeks-three-labs-one-admission-the-machine-is-starting-to-build-itself-7de3bae98266?sharedUserId=bloomthedigitallens#Ai #Technology #Future